Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins 7/31/2023 Tips, Odds, and Analysis
The Philadelphia Phillies and the Miami Marlins will kick off the Monday MLB schedule with a game at loanDepot Park. The Phillies (56-49) are just below .500 on the road and are half a game behind in the final NL Wild Card spot race. In their recent 6-4 road loss against Pittsburgh, Philadelphia’s Alec Bohm homered and drove in three runs.
Philadelphia boasts a team ERA of 4.02, ranking 11th best in baseball, and their WHIP is the fifth best at 1.24. With 45 Quality Starts, they rank 8th best and 8th best in batting average allowed at .241. Taijuan Walker leads the team in victories with 11, while Zack Wheeler leads in strikeouts with 145. Walker is set to start on the mound for Philadelphia on Monday with a season record of 11-4, an ERA of 4.06, and 98 strikeouts.
The Phillies have compiled 184 doubles and hit 111 home runs as a team. Their slugging percentage is .415, and they have been struck out 930 times while drawing 307 walks. Philadelphia is scoring an average of 4.5 runs per contest, which ranks 17th in MLB. They have recorded 440 RBIs and 897 base hits this year, with an average at the plate of .256. They have also scored 458 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .319.
Regarding pitching, the Phillies have a team earned run average of 4.04 (12th in baseball) and have struck out 923 batters. They have given up 112 home runs and 448 total runs (13th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 292 opposing batters, and their FIP for the year is 3.93. They surrendered 829 base hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and 406 earned runs. The team earned a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 3.16, and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.24.
Offensively, the Phillies have a team batting average of .255, ranking 10th best in baseball. They are 13th in on-base percentage at .321 and slugging percentage at .414. Philadelphia has scored 466 runs, which is 18th in baseball. Leading the team in home runs and RBIs is Kyle Schwarber with 27 and 65, respectively. Nick Castellanos follows with 14 home runs, and Alec Bohm has 62 RBIs. The Phillies have hit 189 doubles, 21 triples, and 112 home runs in 104 games.
The Phillies’ addition of right-hander Taijuan Walker (11-4, 4.06 ERA) has been significant for their rotation this season. They have won four of Walker’s last five starts, during which he allowed 13 runs over 29 plus frames.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins 7/31/2023 Tips, Odds, and Analysis
The Miami Marlins have been successful in 33 of their first 54 home games and are tied with Milwaukee for the second place in the NL Wild Card standings. In their recent 8-6 home victory against Detroit, Miami used a 13-hit attack and erased an early four-run deficit. Garrett Cooper and Jean Segura each hit home runs for the Marlins.
Miami holds one of baseball’s best team batting averages at .264, ranking 4th. However, they drop to 14th in on-base percentage with .320 and 22nd in slugging percentage at .397. The Marlins have scored only 428 runs, placing them 27th in baseball. They are 19th in, leaving runners stranded on base, averaging 6.9 per game. Jorge Soler leads Miami in home runs with 24 and RBIs with 57. Bryan De La Cruz follows with 14 home runs and 57 RBIs. The Marlins have hit 167 doubles, 15 triples, and 93 home runs in 105 games.
On the mound, Miami ranks 14th in team ERA at 4.09 and 12th in WHIP at 1.26. The starting rotation has 34 Quality Starts, ranking 17th, and the pitching staff has held opposing hitters to an average of .244, ranking 15th. The leader in victories and strikeouts is Jesus Luzardo, with eight and 144, respectively. Edward Cabrera will take the mound for Miami on Monday, holding a record of 5-6, an ERA of 4.74, and 90 strikeouts.
The Marlins will rely on righty Edward Cabrera (5-6, 4.74 ERA) in the series opener. They have lost Cabrera’s last three starts, during which he surrendered nine runs over 11 innings of work.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins. The MLB pick is the Miami Marlins. Jazz Chisholm, the Miami Marlins outfielder, began a rehab assignment with Single-A Jupiter on Sunday, and he could return to the lineup this weekend. With 105 games played, the Philadelphia Phillies currently stand 13th in OPS and 18th in runs scored. On the other hand, the Miami Marlins rank 20th in OPS and 27th in runs scored for the season. Considering these factors, the prediction is the Phillies will secure a victory on the road, with a final score of 5-3.
MLB Starting Time: 6:40 PM ET
Location: loanDepot park in Miami, Florida
Date: Monday, July 31, 2022
TV: ESP+
MLB Odds: Philadelphia Phillies -228
MLB Totals: 8
