UFC on ESPN 57 Betting Prediction: Raul Rosas Jr. vs. Ricky Turcios 6/8/2024
As the UFC returns to Louisville, Kentucky, for UFC on ESPN 57, fans and bettors alike are gearing up for an exciting bantamweight showdown between Raul Rosas Jr. and Ricky Turcios. With both fighters having impressive records, Rosas Jr. holding an 8-1-0 and Turcios at 13-3-0, the stakes are high. This matchup is not just a test of skill but also an opportunity for MMA betting picks today, with many looking to gauge who will come out on top in this closely watched contest.
Raul Rosas Jr. vs. Ricky Turcios Game Info
| When: | Sunday, June 8, 2024 at 8:00 PM ET |
| Where: | KFC Yum! Center, Louisville, Kentucky, USA |
| TV: | ESPN+ |
Raul Rosas Jr. Analysis
Raul “EL NINO PROBLEMA” Rosas Jr. on his side will be coming into this fight as a tough contender with a record of 8-1-0. Remarkably, Rosas was born in 2004 and seems to have great conduct and talent when in the cage. With an average fight time significantly shorter than Turcios at 8:25, these are the most often characterized by spectacular nature and the majority of them are ended permanently. Therefore, the following table displays Rosas’s effective offense that has put a measure of 44% accuracy for this fighter apart from a high value of strike landed per minute favoring Rosas with the value of 1.28. While he produced less strikes than Turcios, it can be said that his strike selection was more precise.
As far as grappling is concerned, which shows the ability to take an opponent down and neutralize them on the ground, Rosas performs an average of 3.57 takedowns in 15 minutes of grappling and submission he averages 1.8, which suggests that he prefers grappling as a fighting style. However, his takedown defense does not exist at all, a trait that Turcios may use in his favor. The most recent fight against Mitchell proves his prowess in managing fights and adjusting according to the circumstances; this characteristic is vital for the upcoming fight.
Ricky Turcios Analysis
On the other hand, Ricky Turcios starts the fight with the record of 13-3-0 in total fight results. Known for his endurance and experience, Turcios averages a fight time of 15:00 minutes, nearly double of what Rosas achieved in that department. This stamina could be of great use in a long fight. His striking game is all out as evident by his strikes landed of 5.08, however, he was rather inaccurate at 37%. His defense is superior to Rosas’s which stands at 55% proving that he is able to shield his body from the opponent’s assaults.
One thing stands out; Turcios’s grappling attribute, and it contradicts his striking performance. While his stand up involves only 1 average takedown per 15 minutes and takedown accuracy at 25%, his ground game could be in trouble against a wrestler like Rosas. But takedown defense is only 45%, and a recent fight against Natividad shows that the fighter is able to conduct the fight and use his advantage in striking to defeat an opponent.
Raul Rosas Jr. vs. Ricky Turcios Stats
| Rosas Jr. | Turcios | |
| Wins/Losses/Draws | 8-1-0 | 13-3-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 8:25 | 15:00 |
| Height | 5′ 9″ | 5′ 9″ |
| Weight | 135 lbs. | 135 lbs. |
| Reach | 67″ | 71″ |
| Stance | Switch | Orthodox |
| Strikes Landed per Min. | 1.28 | 5.08 |
| Striking Accuracy | 44% | 37% |
| Strikes Absorbed per Min. | 1.52 | 3.70 |
| Defense | 46% | 55% |
| Takedowns Average/15 min. | 3.57 | 1.00 |
| Takedown Accuracy | 33% | 25% |
| Takedown Defense | 0% | 45% |
| Submission Average/15 min. | 1.8 | 0.2 |
Raul Rosas Jr. vs. Ricky Turcios Betting Picks
Analyzing both fighters, Rosas Jr. appears to have a slight edge, especially in grappling, which could be decisive in this matchup. His ability to execute submissions and control the pace on the ground may well neutralize Turcios’s striking advantage. Moreover, the betting odds favor Rosas Jr. at -250, indicating confidence in his ability to secure a victory.
However, Turcios’s experience and superior striking stats should not be underestimated. His ability to endure longer fights and his higher defense rate make him a viable pick, especially for those looking for value in an underdog at +200. Bettors should consider how each fighter’s strengths play against the other’s weaknesses.
Free Pick: Raul Rosas Jr. -250
This fight promises to be an engaging clash of styles and abilities. While Rosas Jr. might have the upper hand statistically and in the eyes of the oddsmakers, Turcios’s resilience and experience could surprise those tuning in on ESPN+. For those looking to place bets, checking top online betting sites for the latest odds and insights is advisable, as this fight could offer some interesting dynamics right up until the bell rings.
