UFC on ESPN 61 Betting Predictions: Stephanie Luciano vs. Talita Alencar 8/10/2024 – As UFC on ESPN 61 fast approaches, the sports betting community is abuzz with the prospects of one of the most intriguing women’s strawweight bouts on the card: Stephanie Luciano vs. Talita Alencar. Both fighters come into the bout with impressive records, promising an electrifying showdown on Saturday, August 10, 2024. Luciano, with a record of 5-1-1, is slightly favored at -165 according to the best sportsbook online, while the undefeated Alencar stands as a compelling underdog at +150. This bout not only promises excitement but also poses interesting questions for bettors and fans alike, making it a highlight of the evening at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada.
Stephanie Luciano vs. Talita Alencar Game Info
| When: | Saturday, August 10, 2024, at 4:00 PM ET |
| Where: | UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA |
| TV: | ESPN+ |
Stephanie Luciano Analysis
The promising Stephanie “Rondinha” Luciano has quickly become one of the most outstanding fighters in the women’s strawweight category. With a record of 5 wins, 1 loss and 1 draw, Luciano brings an all-around skill set into the Octagon. For striking, she is known to have a solid 5.80 significant strikes per minute plus an accuracy rate of around 57%. She also scores well concerning defense with only absorbing about 2.33 attacks for each minute and having a defense rate of approximately 61%. Additionally, her grappling figures reveal that she has a perfect takedown accuracy at a hundred percent yet just averages one takedown for every fifteen minutes. Her recent draw against Alencar demonstrated her tenacity and ability to adjust which makes her both a dangerous adversary and huge favorite in this rematch.
Talita Alencar Analysis
Alencar, “Problem Child” Talita comes into this fight as an underdog with a perfect 5-0-1 record. Some would consider her smaller stature and reach as being a disadvantageous factor, but her performance proves otherwise when it comes to determination and competence. Despite having a low accuracy rate of 15%, Alencar was able to take down her opponents on average 2.50 times per 15 minutes in every fight pointing out the fact that she doesn’t give up trying to put them on the ground. While landing 2.37 significant strikes per minute at a rate of 28% does not seem impressive compared to Luciano’s output, Alencar’s performance is very poor given that she absorbs at least 4.80 each minute with a defense of only 48% proving that she is weak in stand-up exchanges. Her last fight ended in a draw against Luciano; this showed how much she values winning but also provided insight into areas for improvement if she wants to keep an unblemished record.
Stephanie Luciano vs. Talita Alencar Stats
| Luciano | Alencar | |
| Wins/Losses/Draws | 5-1-1 | 5-0-1 |
| Average Fight Time | 15:00 | 15:00 |
| Height | 5′ 6″ | 5′ 1″ |
| Weight | 115 lbs. | 115 lbs. |
| Reach | 65″ | 58″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Strikes Landed per Min. | 5.80 | 2.37 |
| Striking Accuracy | 57% | 28% |
| Strikes Absorbed per Min. | 2.33 | 4.80 |
| Defense | 61% | 48% |
| Takedowns Average/15 min. | 1.00 | 2.50 |
| Takedown Accuracy | 100% | 15% |
| Takedown Defense | 83% | 50% |
| Submission Average/15 min. | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Stephanie Luciano vs. Talita Alencar Betting Picks
Analyzing both fighters’ past performances and stats, Stephanie Luciano seems to hold a slight edge, especially in striking and defensive metrics. Luciano’s ability to land and absorb significant strikes more efficiently than Alencar could be the key factor in this bout. Betting trends lean slightly towards Luciano, reflecting her more rounded game and statistical advantages. However, the odds reflect a closely contested bout, and Alencar’s undefeated streak coupled with her aggressive grappling could surprise those siding too heavily with the favorite.
For those looking at betting opportunities, Luciano’s more proven track record in striking and her superior defensive skills make her the safer pick. However, the value lies in considering the fight’s dynamics, which could shift dramatically if Alencar successfully imposes her grappling game.
Free Pick: Stephanie Luciano -165
This upcoming UFC strawweight contest between Stephanie Luciano and Talita Alencar is not only a test of striking versus grappling but also a showcase of two rising stars in women’s MMA. For those looking to engage with UFC top betting picks, this bout offers a compelling narrative and valuable insights into the potential of both fighters. With Luciano favored to win, her comprehensive skill set seems poised to overcome the challenges posed by Alencar, making her a prime candidate for bettors aiming to capitalize on this high-stakes encounter.
