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NFL Week 9 Betting Prediction: Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Kansas City Chiefs 11/4/2024

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-4) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (7-0)

With the NFL season reaching its halfway mark, it’s now time to look forward to the Week 9 fixture when the Tampa Bay Buccaneers head to the Arrowhead Stadium to take on the currently undefeated Kansas City Chiefs in a Monday night fixture. The Buccaneers are able to manage a 4-4 record, but this is not going to be easy against a Chiefs team that has been unbeaten in its first seven games. The match is scheduled to be held on November 4, 2024, at 8:15 PM. There is a lot of anticipation around this game, making its predictions popular among NFL Week 9 free betting picks.

The excitement for Tampa Bay’s offense this season has been there, but the fanbase is unsure as they have been inconsistent. Quarterback Mayfield has managed to acquire 2189 passing yards and 21 scoring throws with, unfortunately, 9 interceptions too. Target wide receiver Godwin is reported to have recorded 576 receiving yards this season while also scoring five touchdowns. Bucky Irving, the running back, is a decent player for the team with his average of 5.2 yards per carry, though the team hasn’t managed to win as much as they would like to, and this is a problem they take into the game against the Chiefs. 

On the other hand, Kansas City’s campaign has been steady and strong with team captain Patrick Mahomes who has an 84.9 passer rating with an 8-9 ratio of touchdown to interception in the campaign winning matches. Kareem Hunt adds a consistent 77 yards for a game on the ground while Travis Kelce has lower stats than normal but he’s capable of being a target for Mahomes. With this offensive structure, the Buccaneers are definitely going to get tested with their weak pass defense.

 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Kansas City Chiefs Game Info

When: Monday, November 4, 2024 at 8:15 PM ET
Where: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
TV: ESPN/ABC
Stream: NFL Game Pass

 

Baker Mayfield QB vs. Patrick Mahomes QB

The season for Mayfield has been full of ups and downs that boast of high records such as passing touchdowns, however, turnovers have been a problem in many of his games where he has given away important possessions for the team. In games when Mayfield has been able to connect deep with receivers like Godwin, it has been one of the areas of Tampa’s occasional victories.

In contrast, Mahomes, even in what many might term as an off-year, still manages to win games. His ability to step up in the most decisive moments is still unmatched, and he is a great leader as well. As it appears this QB duel will come down to the last touches, contrasting the differences in how both players will attempt to leverage their strengths without losing control on the field.

 

NFL Odds/Point Spread: Kansas City Chiefs -450, Total Odds: 45.5

The odds heavily favor the Chiefs, not surprising given their undefeated record and home advantage. The spread at -8.5 for Kansas City suggests oddsmakers expect them to not only win but do so by a considerable margin. However, Tampa Bay’s knack for covering spreads against Kansas City in past meetings might give bettors pause, making the Buccaneers an intriguing underdog bet, especially with the over hitting in their recent games.

 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Trends

Tampa Bay’s recent form shows a tendency to beat the odds against Kansas City, with a 4-1 ATS record in their last five meetings. Their ability to perform well on the road, indicated by a 10-3 ATS in their last 13 away games, also bodes well for their chances to at least cover, if not win. These trends suggest that while Tampa Bay might not upset Kansas City, they could keep the game closer than the spread suggests.

 

Kansas City Chiefs Betting Trends

The Chiefs have been a bettor’s dream this season, boasting a 10-2-1 ATS record in their last 13 games, reflecting their ability to outperform expectations consistently. Their home record is even more daunting for opponents, with a 6-0 SU record in their last six at Arrowhead. These trends underscore Kansas City’s ability to capitalize on home-field advantage and their efficiency in both offense and defense.

 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Kansas City Chiefs 11/4/2024 Betting Picks

There still may be reasons to wager on the Kansas City Chiefs to cover the spread given their current winning streak and the struggling Buccaneers. However, Robert Hainsey who is the Tampa center, said they perform the best during important moments in the game. It would not be unreasonable to bet the over total on 45.5 since the Tampa Bay offense lately requires a response from the Chief’s high performance offense.

In this case, prop bettors watch Mayfield’s and Mahomes’s touchdown passes, as both have high passing TD numbers in the present season. This may be particularly interesting for persons utilizing the best bookie software in order to place their bets on different platforms. Generally, the Kansas City winning streak looks the most probable even though Tampa Bay is expected to put up a strong fight and probably cover the spread. As for the over, it is likely to appeal to those looking for higher stakes since the units can also exploit the two offenses.

 

Free Pick and Prediction: Kansas City Chiefs 31, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 24.

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