Tom Aspinall vs Marcin Tybura 7/22/2023 Odds, Expert Picks and Tips
UFC London Fight Night 224
The upcoming UFC London fight is scheduled on July 22 at the 02 Arena. Tom Aspinall (20-3-0), the fifth-ranked heavyweight, and Marcin Tybura (24-7-0), a UFC veteran and the tenth-ranked heavyweight, will square off in the main event. Aspinall’s bright future increases the anticipation for this bout in the heavyweight class.
Based on implied win probability, the duel is about an 82% chance of Aspinall winning the fight. Given his stellar track record and overwhelming statistical advantages, Aspinall is a worthy favorite.
Marcin Tybura, on the other hand, is the underdog going into the match and is listed at +340. This stat suggests a 23% decreased chance of winning. It’s crucial to pay attention to Tybura’s qualifications and expertise. Tybura might be able to overcome the odds and triumph unexpectedly.
In the octagon, Tom Aspinall is a fearsome opponent. He has shown himself to be a rising star in the heavyweight class with an excellent record of 12 victories and just three losses. After a year away from the octagon due to a significant ligament injury sustained during his last bout against Curtis Blaydes, Aspinall is officially back in action.
The Manchester-based boxer defeated Alexander Volkov and Sergey Spivak in back-to-back first-round decisions before the Blaydes fight. Awe-inspiring is the spectacular game of Aspinall. He has devastating power and accuracy in his fists, landing 7.41 major strikes per minute with an outstanding accuracy of 65%. A 64% rate for his striking defense demonstrates his skill in preventing needless injury.
Although Aspinall’s primary method of attack is striking, his grappling abilities should not be underrated. The BJJ black belt has a high success rate, averaging four takedowns per fifteen minutes with a flawless 100 percent accuracy. Additionally, he exhibits a risky submission game that involves two submissions every 15 minutes on average.
Although Aspinall’s numbers say eloquently about his ability, his rate of 2.87 strikes absorbed per minute makes him occasionally susceptible. His adversaries can seize this and tip the balance in their favor.
At 30, Aspinall is no longer a spring bird but still a young man in the heavyweight class. Tybura, who is 37 years old, has been fighting in the UFC since 2016 and has a stellar 24-7 career record.
Tom Aspinall vs Marcin Tybura 7/22/2023 Odds, Expert Picks and Tips
Marcin Tybura’s average battle duration of 12 minutes and 40 seconds demonstrated his stamina and capacity to go the distance. He has often shown during his career that he possesses the energy and fortitude to persevere through brutal battles.
With a striking rate of 3.55 significant strikes per minute and a 48% accuracy rate, Tybura has good striking ability. While he may not have Aspinall’s impressive statistics, he makes up for it with a robust and striking defense that reduces the damage he takes. Tybura is 2-1 in his previous three fights, winning by decision over Blagoy Ivanov and Alexander Romanov twice before dropping the battle before that to Alexander Volkov.
Tybura tends to take more blows at a rate of 3.31 per minute and strikes with lesser precision and volume than Aspinall. He is now open to Aspinall’s powerful punches and combos.
Tom Aspinall vs. Marcin Tybura. Each combatant has particular advantages and disadvantages. Tybura may have a difficult struggle due to Aspinall’s tremendous volume and precision, along with his striking prowess. His arsenal is further strengthened by his ability to combine takedowns and submissions.
On the other hand, it is impossible to discount Tybura’s durability and expertise. He could take advantage of Aspinall’s minor flaws in his striking defense if he can survive Aspinall’s storm. A wise betting strategy would be to consider making a bet on Tom Aspinall to win by knockout or submission during the first three rounds based on the UFC data for a predicted outcome. Given his superior success in prior battles, this has the potential to yield a significant return on investment.
Aspinall just underwent significant knee surgery, and throughout the years, we’ve seen several boxers recover from a comparable injury and never be the same again. However, recent images show the Manchester native to be in the most excellent form of his life after his recovery. If that’s the case, Tybura should be in danger.
Throughout his octagon career, the Polish fighter has tended to follow a similar trend, winning most of his slower, plodding opponents but losing to the more athletic opponents he cannot physically or technically dominate.
Prediction: Aspinall by second-round KO
Location: O2 Arena in Greater London, England
Date: Saturday, July 22, 2023
Main Card: 3:00 PM ET
Prelims: 12:00 PM ET
Watch on: ESPN and ESPN+
